[03 — Project]
SkewMarket
Real-time prediction-market scanner — finds mispriced odds on Polymarket.
- React
- Vite
- Tailwind CSS v4
- Polymarket API
- Binance WebSocket
- Vercel
[Overview]
What it does
SkewMarket continuously scans 200+ Polymarket prediction markets and surfaces the ones where odds don't add up mathematically. When prices deviate, there's an opportunity — and the tool finds it before the user does.
The engine runs on a simple rule: in a correctly priced market, outcome probabilities must sum to exactly 100%. When they don't, someone is wrong. The scanner detects the deviation, identifies the mispriced side, and attaches a Trust Score that filters out the noise (low volume, liquidity, time-to-resolution).
Bonus: a CEX-lag detector hooked into Binance via WebSocket — it spots crypto moves that haven't propagated to prediction-market odds yet. Every detected edge is logged and tracked until market resolution — proof of alpha.
[Highlights]
Highlights
- 01Edge Detection: Σ(Yes) ≠ 100% deviation, 15% cap to ignore independent markets.
- 02Multi-outcome: 3+ choice markets (elections, timelines) ranked by probability.
- 03Trust Score: weighted volume × liquidity × spread × time-to-resolution.
- 04CEX Lag Detector: Binance WebSocket BTC/ETH/SOL vs Polymarket odds in real time.
- 05Hot Deal Scoring: volume, liquidity, 50/50 uncertainty, 1–7 day timing.
- 06Proof of Alpha: every edge is tracked until market resolution.